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https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/16472
END TB STRATEGY: THE NEED TO REDUCE RISK INEQUALITIES
Heterogeneidade
Coorte de seleção
Desigualdade social
Intervenção
Author
Affilliation
Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK / Universidade do Porto. CIBIO-InBIO. Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Genéticos. Vila do Conde, Portugal / Universidade de São Paulo. Instituto de Matemática e Estatística. São Paulo, SP, Brasil
Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Centro de Pesquisas Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil / Universidade Federal da Bahia. Instituto de Saúde Coletiva. Salvador, BA, Brasil
World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. London, UK
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. London, UK
National Institute of Public Health and the Environment. Department of Infectious Diseases Epidemiology. Bilthoven, The Netherlands / Leiden University Medical Center. Department of Medical Statistics and Bioinformatics. Leiden, The Netherlands
Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK / Universidade do Porto. CIBIO-InBIO. Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Genéticos. Vila do Conde, Portugal / Universidade de São Paulo. Instituto de Matemática e Estatística. São Paulo, SP, Brasil
Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Centro de Pesquisas Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil / Universidade Federal da Bahia. Instituto de Saúde Coletiva. Salvador, BA, Brasil
World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. London, UK
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. London, UK
National Institute of Public Health and the Environment. Department of Infectious Diseases Epidemiology. Bilthoven, The Netherlands / Leiden University Medical Center. Department of Medical Statistics and Bioinformatics. Leiden, The Netherlands
Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK / Universidade do Porto. CIBIO-InBIO. Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Genéticos. Vila do Conde, Portugal / Universidade de São Paulo. Instituto de Matemática e Estatística. São Paulo, SP, Brasil
Abstract
Diseases occur in populations whose individuals differ in essential characteristics, such as exposure to the causative agent, susceptibility given exposure, and infectiousness upon infection in the case of infectious diseases. Discussion: Concepts developed in demography more than 30 years ago assert that variability between individuals
affects substantially the estimation of overall population risk from disease incidence data. Methods that ignore
individual heterogeneity tend to underestimate overall risk and lead to overoptimistic expectations for control.
Concerned that this phenomenon is frequently overlooked in epidemiology, here we feature its significance for
interpreting global data on human tuberculosis and predicting the impact of control measures.
Summary: We show that population-wide interventions have the greatest impact in populations where all individuals
face an equal risk. Lowering variability in risk has great potential to increase the impact of interventions. Reducing
inequality, therefore, empowers health interventions, which in turn improves health, further reducing inequality, in a
virtuous circle.
Keywords in Portuguese
TuberculoseHeterogeneidade
Coorte de seleção
Desigualdade social
Intervenção
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