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EFFECTIVENESS OF THE PRIMARY BACILLUS CALMETTE-GUÉRIN VACCINE AGAINST THE RISK OF MYCOBACTERIUM TUBERCULOSIS INFECTION AND TUBERCULOSIS DISEASE: A META-ANALYSIS OF INDIVIDUAL PARTICIPANT DATA
Author
Pelzer, Puck T.
Stuck, Logan
Martinez, Leonardo
Richards, Alexandra S.
Acuña-Villaorduña, Carlos
Aronson, Naomi E.
Bonnet, Maryline
Carvalho, Anna Cristina Calçada
Pei-Chun, Chan
Li-Min, Huang
Chi-Tai, Fang
Churchyard, Gavin
Corral-Londoño, Helena del
Datta, Manjula
Espinal, Marcos A.
Fielding, Katherine
Fiore-Gartland, Andrew J.
Garcia-Basteiro, Alberto
Hanekom, Willem
Hatherill, Mark
Hill, Phillip C.
Huerga, Helena
Jones-López, Edward C.
Kritski, Afranio Lineu
Mandalakas, Anna M.
Mangtani, Punam
Martins Netto, Eduardo
Mayanja, Harriet
Mazahir, Rufaida
Murray, Megan
Rangaka, Molebogeng
Scriba, Thomas
Singh, Jitendra
Singh, Sarman
Stein, Catherine M.
Vekemans, Johan
Verhagen, Lilly M.
Villalba, Julian A.
Wajja, Anne
Watson, Basilea
White, Richard G.
Cobelens, Frank G. J.
Stuck, Logan
Martinez, Leonardo
Richards, Alexandra S.
Acuña-Villaorduña, Carlos
Aronson, Naomi E.
Bonnet, Maryline
Carvalho, Anna Cristina Calçada
Pei-Chun, Chan
Li-Min, Huang
Chi-Tai, Fang
Churchyard, Gavin
Corral-Londoño, Helena del
Datta, Manjula
Espinal, Marcos A.
Fielding, Katherine
Fiore-Gartland, Andrew J.
Garcia-Basteiro, Alberto
Hanekom, Willem
Hatherill, Mark
Hill, Phillip C.
Huerga, Helena
Jones-López, Edward C.
Kritski, Afranio Lineu
Mandalakas, Anna M.
Mangtani, Punam
Martins Netto, Eduardo
Mayanja, Harriet
Mazahir, Rufaida
Murray, Megan
Rangaka, Molebogeng
Scriba, Thomas
Singh, Jitendra
Singh, Sarman
Stein, Catherine M.
Vekemans, Johan
Verhagen, Lilly M.
Villalba, Julian A.
Wajja, Anne
Watson, Basilea
White, Richard G.
Cobelens, Frank G. J.
Affilliation
Amsterdam University Medical Centres. Amsterdam, Netherlands / Koninklijke Nederlandse Chemische Vereniging Tuberculosis Foundation. The Hague, Netherlands / London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. London, UK / Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development. Department of Global Health. Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Amsterdam University Medical Centres. Amsterdam, Netherlands / Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development. Department of Global Health. Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Boston University. School of Public Health. Department of Epidemiology. Boston, MA, USA.
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. London, UK.
Boston University Medical Center. Boston, MA, USA.
Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences. Bethesda, MD, USA.
University of Montpellier. Montpellier, France / Institut de Recherche pour le Développement. Recherches Translationnelles sur le VIH et les Maladies Infectieuses. Montpellier, France / Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale. Montpellier, France.
Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Oswaldo Cruz. Laboratório de Inovações em Terapias, Ensino e Bioprodutos. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.
Taiwan Centers for Disease Control. Division of Chronic Infectious Disease. Taipei, Taiwan / National Taiwan University College of Medicine. National Taiwan University Hospital. Department of Pediatrics. Taipei, Taiwan / National Taiwan University. College of Public Health. Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine. Taipei, Taiwan.
National Taiwan University. College of Public Health. Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine. Taipei, Taiwan.
National Taiwan University College of Medicine. National Taiwan University Hospital. Department of Pediatrics. Taipei, Taiwan.
Aurum Institute. Johannesburg, South Africa / University of the Witwatersrand.School of Public Health. Johannesburg, South Africa / Vanderbilt University. Department of Medicine. Nashville, TN, USA.
Universidad de Antioquia. National School of Public Health. Medellin, Colombia.
A Society for Primary Health Care Intervention, Research and Education. Chennai, India.
National Centre for Research on Maternal and Child Health. Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic.
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. London, UK / Médecins Sans Frontières. Epicentre. Infectious Disease Epidemiology Department. Paris, France.
Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center. Seattle, WA, USA.
Barcelona Institute for Global Health. Barcelona, Spain.
Africa Health Research Institute. Durban, South Africa.
University of Cape Town. Department of Pathology. Division of Immunology. Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine. South African Tuberculosis Vaccine Initiative. Cape Town, South Africa.
University of Otago. Centre for International Health. Dunedin, New Zealand.
Médecins Sans Frontières. Epicentre. Field Epidemiology Department. Paris, France.
University of Southern California. Keck School of Medicine of University of Southern California. Department of Medicine. Division of Infectious Diseases. Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro. Centro de Ciências da Saúde. Faculdade de Medicina. Departamento de Clínica Médica. Complexo Hospitalar e da Saúde. Programa Acadêmico de Tuberculose. Laboratório de Pesquisa de Ensaios Clínicos Fármacos/Testes Diagnósticos do Programa Acadêmico de Tuberculose. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.
Baylor College of Medicine. Houston, TX, USA.
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. London, UK / Médecins Sans Frontières. Epicentre. Infectious Disease Epidemiology Department. Paris, France.
Universidade Federal da Bahia. Faculdade de Medicina da Bahia. Salvador, BA, Brasil / Empresa Brasileira de Serviços Hospitalares. Universidade Federal da Bahia. Hospital Universitário Professor Edgard Santos. Salvador, BA, Brasil / Universidade Federal da Bahia. Salvador, BA, Brasil.
Makerere University. Infectious Diseases Institute. Kampala, Uganda.
Aligarh Muslim University. Nehru Medical College. Aligarh, Uttar Pradesh, India.
Harvard Medical School. Department of Global Health and Social Medicine. Boston, MA, USA.
University College London. Institute for Global Health and Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit. London, UK.
University of Cape Town. Department of Pathology. Division of Immunology. Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine. South African Tuberculosis Vaccine Initiative. Cape Town, South Africa.
All India Institute of Medical Sciences Bhopal. Department of Translational Medicine. Madhya Pradesh, India.
All India Institute of Medical Sciences. Department of Laboratory Medicine. New Delhi, India / All India Institute of Medical Sciences. New Delhi, India / All India Institute of Medical Sciences. Bhopal, India / Aaarupadai Veedu Medical College. Pondicherry, India.
Case Western Reserve University. Department of Population and Quantitative Health Sciences. Cleveland, OH, USA / Case Western Reserve University. Department of Medicine. Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine. Cleveland, OH, USA.
International AIDS Vaccine Initiative. New York, NY, USA.
Radboud University Medical Center. Amalia Children's Hospital. Radboud Community for Infectious Diseases. Department of Pediatric Infectious Diseases and Immunology. Nijmegen, Netherlands / Radboud University Medical Center. Department of Laboratory Medicine. Laboratory of Medical Immunology. Nijmegen, Netherlands / Stellenbosch University. Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences. Department of Paediatrics and Child Health. Cape Town, South Africa.
Universidad Central de Venezuela. Instituto de Biomedicina. Laboratorio de Tuberculosis. Caracas, Venezuela / Emory University School of Medicine. Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine. Atlanta, GA, USA.
Makerere University. Infectious Diseases Institute. Kampala, Uganda.
Indian Council of Medical Research. National Institute for Research in Tuberculosis. Chennai, India.
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. London, UK.
Amsterdam University Medical Centres. Amsterdam, Netherlands / Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development. Department of Global Health. Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Amsterdam University Medical Centres. Amsterdam, Netherlands / Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development. Department of Global Health. Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Boston University. School of Public Health. Department of Epidemiology. Boston, MA, USA.
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. London, UK.
Boston University Medical Center. Boston, MA, USA.
Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences. Bethesda, MD, USA.
University of Montpellier. Montpellier, France / Institut de Recherche pour le Développement. Recherches Translationnelles sur le VIH et les Maladies Infectieuses. Montpellier, France / Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale. Montpellier, France.
Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Oswaldo Cruz. Laboratório de Inovações em Terapias, Ensino e Bioprodutos. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.
Taiwan Centers for Disease Control. Division of Chronic Infectious Disease. Taipei, Taiwan / National Taiwan University College of Medicine. National Taiwan University Hospital. Department of Pediatrics. Taipei, Taiwan / National Taiwan University. College of Public Health. Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine. Taipei, Taiwan.
National Taiwan University. College of Public Health. Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine. Taipei, Taiwan.
National Taiwan University College of Medicine. National Taiwan University Hospital. Department of Pediatrics. Taipei, Taiwan.
Aurum Institute. Johannesburg, South Africa / University of the Witwatersrand.School of Public Health. Johannesburg, South Africa / Vanderbilt University. Department of Medicine. Nashville, TN, USA.
Universidad de Antioquia. National School of Public Health. Medellin, Colombia.
A Society for Primary Health Care Intervention, Research and Education. Chennai, India.
National Centre for Research on Maternal and Child Health. Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic.
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. London, UK / Médecins Sans Frontières. Epicentre. Infectious Disease Epidemiology Department. Paris, France.
Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center. Seattle, WA, USA.
Barcelona Institute for Global Health. Barcelona, Spain.
Africa Health Research Institute. Durban, South Africa.
University of Cape Town. Department of Pathology. Division of Immunology. Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine. South African Tuberculosis Vaccine Initiative. Cape Town, South Africa.
University of Otago. Centre for International Health. Dunedin, New Zealand.
Médecins Sans Frontières. Epicentre. Field Epidemiology Department. Paris, France.
University of Southern California. Keck School of Medicine of University of Southern California. Department of Medicine. Division of Infectious Diseases. Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro. Centro de Ciências da Saúde. Faculdade de Medicina. Departamento de Clínica Médica. Complexo Hospitalar e da Saúde. Programa Acadêmico de Tuberculose. Laboratório de Pesquisa de Ensaios Clínicos Fármacos/Testes Diagnósticos do Programa Acadêmico de Tuberculose. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.
Baylor College of Medicine. Houston, TX, USA.
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. London, UK / Médecins Sans Frontières. Epicentre. Infectious Disease Epidemiology Department. Paris, France.
Universidade Federal da Bahia. Faculdade de Medicina da Bahia. Salvador, BA, Brasil / Empresa Brasileira de Serviços Hospitalares. Universidade Federal da Bahia. Hospital Universitário Professor Edgard Santos. Salvador, BA, Brasil / Universidade Federal da Bahia. Salvador, BA, Brasil.
Makerere University. Infectious Diseases Institute. Kampala, Uganda.
Aligarh Muslim University. Nehru Medical College. Aligarh, Uttar Pradesh, India.
Harvard Medical School. Department of Global Health and Social Medicine. Boston, MA, USA.
University College London. Institute for Global Health and Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit. London, UK.
University of Cape Town. Department of Pathology. Division of Immunology. Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine. South African Tuberculosis Vaccine Initiative. Cape Town, South Africa.
All India Institute of Medical Sciences Bhopal. Department of Translational Medicine. Madhya Pradesh, India.
All India Institute of Medical Sciences. Department of Laboratory Medicine. New Delhi, India / All India Institute of Medical Sciences. New Delhi, India / All India Institute of Medical Sciences. Bhopal, India / Aaarupadai Veedu Medical College. Pondicherry, India.
Case Western Reserve University. Department of Population and Quantitative Health Sciences. Cleveland, OH, USA / Case Western Reserve University. Department of Medicine. Division of Infectious Diseases and HIV Medicine. Cleveland, OH, USA.
International AIDS Vaccine Initiative. New York, NY, USA.
Radboud University Medical Center. Amalia Children's Hospital. Radboud Community for Infectious Diseases. Department of Pediatric Infectious Diseases and Immunology. Nijmegen, Netherlands / Radboud University Medical Center. Department of Laboratory Medicine. Laboratory of Medical Immunology. Nijmegen, Netherlands / Stellenbosch University. Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences. Department of Paediatrics and Child Health. Cape Town, South Africa.
Universidad Central de Venezuela. Instituto de Biomedicina. Laboratorio de Tuberculosis. Caracas, Venezuela / Emory University School of Medicine. Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine. Atlanta, GA, USA.
Makerere University. Infectious Diseases Institute. Kampala, Uganda.
Indian Council of Medical Research. National Institute for Research in Tuberculosis. Chennai, India.
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. London, UK.
Amsterdam University Medical Centres. Amsterdam, Netherlands / Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development. Department of Global Health. Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Abstract
Background: Tuberculosis vaccine trials using disease as the primary endpoint are large, time consuming, and expensive. An earlier immunological measure of the protection against disease would accelerate tuberculosis vaccine development. We aimed to assess whether the effectiveness of the Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccine for prevention of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection was consistent with that for prevention of tuberculosis disease. Methods: We conducted an individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis on experimental and observational longitudinal studies before April 6, 2018, identified through systematic reviews, known to us through expert knowledge in the field, reporting on BCG vaccination status, M tuberculosis infection test (QuantiFERON IFN-γ release assay [IGRA] and tuberculin skin test [TST]), and tuberculosis incidence. Cohort studies were included only for countries with a mandatory neonatal BCG vaccination policy. Exclusion criteria were previous or current tuberculosis disease, HIV infection, tuberculosis preventive treatment usage, and for household contacts, a positive baseline IGRA or TST test and young children aged 0–2 years; for randomised controlled trials, TST results within 2 years after random assignation were excluded. We contacted the investigators of the identified studies to provide IPD. We compared the protective efficacy of the BCG vaccine against M tuberculosis infection with that against tuberculosis disease using mixed-effects, multivariable proportional hazards modelling, by study type, M tuberculosis infection test (IGRA and TST), cutoff for defining test positivity, age, sex, and latitude. Findings: We identified 79 studies eligible for full screening and of these, IPD datasets from 14 studies were included in our analysis: 11 household contact studies (29 147 participants), two adolescent cohort studies (11 368 participants), and one randomised controlled trial (2963 participants). Among 28 188 participants we found no protection by the BCG vaccine against TST conversion regardless of cutoff in any type of study. Among 1491 household contacts, but not among 5644 adolescents, the BCG vaccine protected against QuantiFERON conversion at the primary cutoff of 0·7 IU/mL or more with the adjusted hazard ratio (0·65, 95% CI 0·51–0·82) being consistent with that for protection against disease (0·68, 0·18–2·59). Protection against QuantiFERON conversion at cutoff of 0·35 IU/mL or more (0·64, 0·51–0·81) was similar. Interpretation: Protection from the BCG vaccination against M tuberculosis infection, measured as QuantiFERON conversion, is inconsistent across different groups. Among groups with recent household exposure, QuantiFERON conversion is consistent with protection against disease and could be evaluated as a proxy for disease in tuberculosis vaccine trials. We found that TST lacks value for prevention in phase 2b proof-of-concept trials.
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