Author | Guimarães, Raphael Mendonça | |
Author | Magalhães, Mônica de Avelar Figueiredo Mafra | |
Author | Xavier, Diego Ricardo | |
Author | Saldanha, Raphael de Freitas | |
Author | Catão, Rafael de Castro | |
Access date | 2024-02-23T14:39:55Z | |
Available date | 2024-02-23T14:39:55Z | |
Document date | 2020 | |
Citation | GUIMARÃES, Raphael Mendonça et al. Is it time to talk about the end of social distancing? A joinpoint analysis of COVID-19 time series in Brazilian capitals. Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical, v. 53, p. 1-7, 2020. | en_US |
ISSN | 1678-9849 | |
URI | https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/62782 | |
Language | eng | en_US |
Publisher | Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical | en_US |
Rights | open access | en_US |
Title | Is it time to talk about the end of social distancing? A joinpoint analysis of COVID-19 time series in Brazilian capitals | en_US |
Type | Article | en_US |
DOI | 10.1590/0037-8682-0469-2020 | |
Abstract | Introduction: Monitoring coronavirus disease (COVID-19)-related infections and deaths in Brazil is controversial, with increasing pressure to ease social distance measures. However, no evidence of a sustained, widespread fall in cases exists. Methods: We used segmented (joinpoint) regression analysis to describe the behavior of COVID-19 infections in Brazilian capital cities. Results: All capitals showed an exponential or a near-exponential increase in cases through May. A decline in reported cases was subsequently noted in 20 cities but was only significant for 8 (29.6%) and was followed in two by a renewed increase. Conclusions: Caution is warranted when considering the relaxation of restrictions. | en_US |
Affilliation | Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Escola Politécnica de Saúde Joaquim Venâncio. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil. | en_US |
Affilliation | Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto de Comunicação e Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil. | en_US |
Affilliation | Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto de Comunicação e Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil. | en_US |
Affilliation | Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto de Comunicação e Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil. | en_US |
Affilliation | Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo. Departamento de Geografia. Vitória, ES, Brasil. | en_US |
Subject | SARS-CoV-2 | en_US |
Subject | COVID-19 | en_US |
Subject | Social Distance | en_US |
Subject | Time series | en_US |
Subject | Brazil | en_US |