| Author | Weinberger, Daniel M | |
| Author | Baroux, Noémie | |
| Author | Grangeon, Jean-Paul | |
| Author | Ko, Albert Icksang | |
| Author | Goarant, Cyrille | |
| Access date | 2014-11-06T12:54:52Z | |
| Available date | 2014-11-06T12:54:52Z | |
| Document date | 2014 | |
| Citation | WEINBERGER, D. et al. El Niño Southern Oscillation and leptospirosis outbreaks in New Caledonia. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, v. 8, n. 4, p. e2798, 2014. | pt_BR |
| ISSN | 1935-2735 | |
| URI | https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/8740 | |
| Language | eng | pt_BR |
| Publisher | Public Library of Science | pt_BR |
| Rights | open access | pt_BR |
| Subject in Portuguese | Leptospirose | pt_BR |
| Subject in Portuguese | Saúde pública | pt_BR |
| Subject in Portuguese | Regiões climáticas | pt_BR |
| Subject in Portuguese | Alterações climáticas | pt_BR |
| Subject in Portuguese | El niño oscilação | pt_BR |
| Subject in Portuguese | Nova Caledônia | pt_BR |
| Subject in Portuguese | Surtos de doenças | pt_BR |
| Title | El Niño Southern Oscillation and leptospirosis outbreaks in New Caledonia. | pt_BR |
| Type | Article | pt_BR |
| DOI | 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002798 | |
| Abstract | Leptospirosis is an important cause of seasonal outbreaks in New Caledonia and the tropics. Using time series derived from high-quality laboratory-based surveillance from 2000-2012, we evaluated whether climatic factors, including El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and meteorological conditions allow for the prediction of leptospirosis outbreaks in New Caledonia. We found that La Niña periods are associated with high rainfall, and both of these factors were in turn, temporally associated with outbreaks of leptospirosis. The sea surface temperature in El Niño Box 4 allowed forecasting of leptospirosis outbreaks four months into the future, a time lag allowing public health authorities to increase preparedness. To our knowledge, our observations in New Caledonia are the first demonstration that ENSO has a strong association with leptospirosis. This association should be tested in other regions in the South Pacific, Asia or Latin America where ENSO may drive climate variability and the risk for leptospirosis outbreaks. | pt_BR |
| Affilliation | Yale School of Public Health. New Haven, Connecticut, USA | pt_BR |
| Affilliation | Institut Pasteur. Institut Pasteur International Network. Noumea, New Caledonia | pt_BR |
| Affilliation | Direction des Affaires Sanitaires et Sociales de la Nouvelle-Calédonie. Noumea, New Caledonia | pt_BR |
| Affilliation | Yale School of Public Health. New Haven, Connecticut, USA / Yale School of Medicine. New Haven, Connecticut, USA / Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Centro de Pesquisas Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil | pt_BR |
| Affilliation | Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Centro de Pesquisas Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil | pt_BR |
| xmlui.metadata.dc.subject.ods | 03 Saúde e Bem-Estar | |
