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SPECIES-SPECIFIC ECOLOGICAL NICHE MODELLING PREDICTS DIFFERENT RANGE CONTRACTIONS FOR LUTZOMYIA INTERMEDIA AND A RELATED VECTOR OF LEISHMANIA BRAZILIENSIS FOLLOWING CLIMATE CHANGE IN SOUTH AMERICA
América do Sul
Mudanças climáticas
Modelagem de nicho ecológico
Psychodidae
Lutzomyia neivai
Ecological niche modelling
Range changes
Climate change
Cutaneous leishmaniasis
South America
Lutzomyia intermedia
Affilliation
Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Oswaldo Cruz. Laboratório Interdisciplinar de Vigilância Entomológica em Diptera e Hemiptera. Rio de Janeiro, RJ. Brasil / London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. Faculty of Infectious Tropical Diseases. Department of Disease Control. London, United Kingdom.
Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Oswaldo Cruz. Laboratório Interdisciplinar de Vigilância Entomológica em Diptera e Hemiptera. Rio de Janeiro, RJ. Brasil.
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. Faculty of Infectious Tropical Diseases. Department of Disease Control. London, United Kingdom.
Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Oswaldo Cruz. Laboratório Interdisciplinar de Vigilância Entomológica em Diptera e Hemiptera. Rio de Janeiro, RJ. Brasil.
Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Oswaldo Cruz. Laboratório Interdisciplinar de Vigilância Entomológica em Diptera e Hemiptera. Rio de Janeiro, RJ. Brasil.
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. Faculty of Infectious Tropical Diseases. Department of Disease Control. London, United Kingdom.
Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Oswaldo Cruz. Laboratório Interdisciplinar de Vigilância Entomológica em Diptera e Hemiptera. Rio de Janeiro, RJ. Brasil.
Abstract
Before 1996 the phlebotomine sand fly Lutzomyia neivai was usually treated as a synonym of the morphologically similar Lutzomyia intermedia, which has long been considered a vector of Leishmania braziliensis, the causative agent of much cutaneous leishmaniasis in South America. This report investigates the likely range changes of both sand fly species in response to a stabilisation climate change scenario (RCP4.5) and a high greenhouse gas emissions one (RCP8.5).
Keywords in Portuguese
Leishmaniose cutâneaAmérica do Sul
Mudanças climáticas
Modelagem de nicho ecológico
Psychodidae
Keywords
South AmericaLutzomyia neivai
Ecological niche modelling
Range changes
Climate change
Cutaneous leishmaniasis
South America
Lutzomyia intermedia
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