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2022-01-01
Sustainable Development Goals
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SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND RISK MAPPING OF SOIL-TRANSMITTED HELMINTH INFECTIONS IN BRAZIL, USING BAYESIAN GEOSTATISTICAL MODELS
Sistema de informação geográfica
Sensoriamento remoto
Helmintos transmitidos pelo solo
Seleção variável
Brazil
Geographical information system
Remote sensing
Soil-transmitted helminths
Variable selection
Brazil
Author
Affilliation
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health. Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute. Basel, Switzerland/University of Basel. Basel, Switzerland/Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Centro de Pesquisa Rene Rachou. Laboratorio de Helmintologia e Malacologia Medica. Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health. Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute. Basel, Switzerland/University of Basel. Basel, Switzerland
Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.Faculdade de Medicina Veterinária. Laboratório de Monitoramento de Doenças por Sistema de Informações Geográficas. Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil
Universidade Federal da Bahia. Departamento de Medicina Preventiva. Salvador, BA, Brasil
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health. Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute. Basel, Switzerland/University of Basel. Basel, Switzerland
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health. Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute. Basel, Switzerland/University of Basel. Basel, Switzerland
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health. Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute. Basel, Switzerland/University of Basel. Basel, Switzerland
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health. Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute. Basel, Switzerland/University of Basel. Basel, Switzerland
Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.Faculdade de Medicina Veterinária. Laboratório de Monitoramento de Doenças por Sistema de Informações Geográficas. Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil
Universidade Federal da Bahia. Departamento de Medicina Preventiva. Salvador, BA, Brasil
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health. Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute. Basel, Switzerland/University of Basel. Basel, Switzerland
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health. Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute. Basel, Switzerland/University of Basel. Basel, Switzerland
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health. Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute. Basel, Switzerland/University of Basel. Basel, Switzerland
Abstract
Soil-transmitted helminths (Ascaris lumbricoides, Trichuris trichiura and hookworm) negatively impact the health and wellbeing of hundreds of millions of people, particularly in tropical and subtropical countries, including Brazil. Reliable maps of the spatial distribution and estimates of the number of infected people are required for the control and eventual elimination of soil-transmitted helminthiasis. We used advanced Bayesian geostatistical modelling, coupled with geographical information systems and remote sensing to visualize the distribution of the three soil-transmitted helminth species in Brazil. Remotely sensed climatic and environmental data, along with socioeconomic variables from readily available databases were employed as predictors. Our models provided mean prevalence estimates for A. lumbricoides, T. trichiura and hookworm of 15.6%, 10.1% and 2.5%, respectively. By considering infection risk and population numbers at the unit of the municipality, we estimate that 29.7 million Brazilians are infected with A. lumbricoides, 19.2 million with T. trichiura and 4.7 million with hookworm. Our model-based maps identified important risk factors related to the transmission of soiltransmitted helminths and confirm that environmental variables are closely associated with indices of poverty. Our smoothed risk maps, including uncertainty, highlight areas where soil-transmitted helminthiasis control interventions are most urgently required, namely in the North and along most of the coastal areas of Brazil. We believe that our predictive risk maps are useful for disease control managers for prioritising control interventions and for providing a tool for more efficient surveillance-response mechanisms.
Keywords in Portuguese
Modelagem bayesianaSistema de informação geográfica
Sensoriamento remoto
Helmintos transmitidos pelo solo
Seleção variável
Brazil
Keywords
Bayesian modellingGeographical information system
Remote sensing
Soil-transmitted helminths
Variable selection
Brazil
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